Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007459 0.008351 0.009326 0.010472 0.011788 0.013256 0.015022
2025-05-18 0.005971 0.007160 0.008568 0.010371 0.012637 0.015414 0.019111
2025-05-25 0.005230 0.006561 0.008225 0.010482 0.013504 0.017464 0.023139
2025-06-01 0.004634 0.006021 0.007829 0.010399 0.014018 0.019032 0.026675
2025-06-08 0.004079 0.005452 0.007304 0.010036 0.014052 0.019879 0.029247
2025-06-15 0.003753 0.005148 0.007091 0.010060 0.014602 0.021495 0.033163
2025-06-22 0.003582 0.005038 0.007128 0.010435 0.015697 0.024046 0.038939
2025-06-29 0.003281 0.004708 0.006808 0.010222 0.015835 0.025075 0.042298
2025-07-06 0.003019 0.004411 0.006505 0.009998 0.015913 0.025993 0.045577
2025-07-13 0.002839 0.004221 0.006347 0.009985 0.016333 0.027533 0.050236
2025-07-20 0.002737 0.004145 0.006359 0.010248 0.017250 0.030066 0.057251
2025-07-27 0.002576 0.003960 0.006179 0.010162 0.017527 0.031436 0.062125
2025-08-03 0.002445 0.003821 0.006074 0.010218 0.018110 0.033554 0.069192
2025-08-10 0.002295 0.003641 0.005886 0.010109 0.018376 0.035094 0.075344
2025-08-17 0.002196 0.003538 0.005821 0.010217 0.019074 0.037625 0.084368
2025-08-24 0.002076 0.003391 0.005665 0.010136 0.019375 0.039343 0.091774
2025-08-31 0.001927 0.003183 0.005384 0.009785 0.019070 0.039663 0.095633
2025-09-07 0.001845 0.003086 0.005297 0.009808 0.019565 0.041892 0.105175
2025-09-14 0.001814 0.003079 0.005376 0.010171 0.020850 0.046201 0.121746
2025-09-21 0.001712 0.002936 0.005189 0.009965 0.020822 0.047276 0.128986
2025-09-28 0.001617 0.002800 0.005003 0.009747 0.020742 0.048206 0.136036
2025-10-05 0.001553 0.002718 0.004917 0.009734 0.021147 0.050473 0.148074
2025-10-12 0.001523 0.002698 0.004953 0.009990 0.022235 0.054772 0.168362